Handicap Success Report

Premier League - 2024/2025 - 17 teams

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Handicap Value

Home/Away

Sample Size

Min Games Required

Minimum Odds (Decimal) E.g. 1.18 = 2/11, 1.50 = 1/2

Minimum Edge (%) Positive edge = value bet

Team: Success Rate for +1 (Min %) Historical rate before fixture

Opposition: Success rate for beating a +1 handicap (Max %) Default: 100 (excludes N/A). Clear to include N/A.

Team: Success vs Opponent Strength (Min %) Bracketed % in Success column

Opposition: Success vs Team Strength (Max %) Bracketed % in Opp. Success column

Selected Team Strength

Opposition Team Strength

Team Lineup Strength

Opposition Lineup Strength

Team L5 Points

Opposition L5 Points

Team L10 Points

Opposition L10 Points

Teams - Handicap +1 Success Rate

Team

Games

Successes

Failures

Bet Success %

Total P/L (£100)

ROI %

Brighton & Hove Albion

100.0%

+81.0

+40.5%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion	0-2	✓ Covered	73.33% (73.33%)	33.33% (33.33%)	0 vs 0	10 vs 7	18 vs 8	4/9	1/2	+5.6%	Marathonbet	+51.0
22nd November 2025	Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford	2-1	✓ Covered	73.33% (73.33%)	46.67% (46.67%)	0 vs 0	8 vs 9	15 vs 16	3/5	3/10	-18.7%	Pinnacle	+30.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+81.0
ROI:						40.5%

AFC Bournemouth

100.0%

+21.0

+21.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
22nd November 2025	AFC Bournemouth vs West Ham United	2-2	✓ Covered	66.67% (66.67%)	26.67% (26.67%)	0 vs 0	7 vs 6	18 vs 10	4/9	1/5	-15.4%	Marathonbet	+21.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+21.0
ROI:						21.0%

Fulham

100.0%

+83.0

+83.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
29th November 2025	Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham	1-2	✓ Covered	46.67% (46.67%)	30.0% (30.0%)	0 vs 0	6 vs 4	12 vs 12	3/4	5/6	+4.6%	Marathonbet	+83.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+83.0
ROI:						83.0%

Newcastle United

100.0%

+147.0

+73.5%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
29th November 2025	Everton vs Newcastle United	1-4	✓ Covered	60.0% (60.0%)	43.33% (43.33%)	0 vs 0	6 vs 7	14 vs 15	5/7	1/2	-12.5%	Pinnacle	+50.0
22nd November 2025	Newcastle United vs Manchester City	2-1	✓ Covered	60.0% (60.0%)	63.33% (63.33%)	0 vs 0	6 vs 12	11 vs 19	23/20	20/21	-7.6%	Pinnacle	+97.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+147.0
ROI:						73.5%

Arsenal

100.0%

+51.0

+25.5%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	Chelsea vs Arsenal	1-1	✓ Covered	90.0% (90.0%)	56.67% (56.67%)	0 vs 0	13 vs 12	23 vs 19	3/5	2/5	-12.6%	Pinnacle	+40.0
23rd November 2025	Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur	4-1	✓ Covered	90.0% (90.0%)	30.0% (30.0%)	0 vs 0	13 vs 7	23 vs 15	1/4	1/9	-11.9%	Pinnacle	+11.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+51.0
ROI:						25.5%

Aston Villa

100.0%

+15.0

+15.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Wanderers	1-0	✓ Covered	76.67% (76.67%)	26.67% (26.67%)	0 vs 0	12 vs 0	20 vs 2	1/3	1/7	-13.8%	Pinnacle	+15.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+15.0
ROI:						15.0%

Chelsea

100.0%

+74.0

+74.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	Chelsea vs Arsenal	1-1	✓ Covered	73.33% (73.33%)	60.0% (60.0%)	0 vs 0	12 vs 13	19 vs 23	17/20	8/11	-5.8%	Marathonbet	+74.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+74.0
ROI:						74.0%

Nottingham Forest

50.0%

+105.0

+52.5%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove Albion	0-2	✗ Failed	56.67% (56.67%)	50.0% (50.0%)	0 vs 0	7 vs 10	8 vs 18	20/23	11/20	-17.0%	Pinnacle	-100.0
22nd November 2025	Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest	0-3	✓ Covered	56.67% (56.67%)	56.67% (56.67%)	0 vs 0	4 vs 3	6 vs 15	1/1	2/1	+51.1%	Pinnacle	+205.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+105.0
ROI:						52.5%

Crystal Palace

50.0%

-69.0

-34.5%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	Crystal Palace vs Manchester United	1-2	✗ Failed	80.0% (80.0%)	33.33% (33.33%)	0 vs 0	8 vs 8	18 vs 17	4/11	1/2	+9.5%	Marathonbet	-100.0
22nd November 2025	Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Crystal Palace	0-2	✓ Covered	80.0% (80.0%)	26.67% (26.67%)	0 vs 0	5 vs 1	16 vs 2	3/10	3/10	+0.3%	Marathonbet	+31.0
Total Profit/Loss:													-69.0
ROI:						-34.5%

Manchester United

50.0%

-20.0

-10.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	Crystal Palace vs Manchester United	1-2	✓ Covered	56.67% (56.67%)	46.67% (46.67%)	0 vs 0	8 vs 8	17 vs 18	5/6	4/5	-1.1%	Pinnacle	+80.0
24th November 2025	Manchester United vs Everton	0-1	✗ Failed	60.0% (60.0%)	40.0% (40.0%)	0 vs 0	11 vs 7	18 vs 15	4/6	2/7	-23.2%	Pinnacle	-100.0
Total Profit/Loss:													-20.0
ROI:						-10.0%

Everton

50.0%

+18.0

+9.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
29th November 2025	Everton vs Newcastle United	1-4	✗ Failed	76.67% (76.67%)	46.67% (46.67%)	0 vs 0	7 vs 6	15 vs 14	11/20	4/7	+1.0%	Marathonbet	-100.0
24th November 2025	Manchester United vs Everton	0-1	✓ Covered	73.33% (73.33%)	33.33% (33.33%)	0 vs 0	7 vs 11	15 vs 18	4/9	6/5	+52.4%	Marathonbet	+118.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+18.0
ROI:						9.0%

Liverpool

50.0%

-75.0

-37.5%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	West Ham United vs Liverpool	0-2	✓ Covered	70.0% (70.0%)	26.67% (26.67%)	0 vs 0	3 vs 7	12 vs 11	2/5	1/4	-10.4%	Pinnacle	+25.0
22nd November 2025	Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest	0-3	✗ Failed	73.33% (73.33%)	33.33% (33.33%)	0 vs 0	3 vs 4	15 vs 6	4/9	1/7	-20.3%	Pinnacle	-100.0
Total Profit/Loss:													-75.0
ROI:						-37.5%

West Ham United

50.0%

+44.0

+22.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	West Ham United vs Liverpool	0-2	✗ Failed	50.0% (50.0%)	56.67% (56.67%)	0 vs 0	7 vs 3	11 vs 12	23/20	6/4	+15.4%	Pinnacle	-100.0
22nd November 2025	AFC Bournemouth vs West Ham United	2-2	✓ Covered	46.67% (46.67%)	40.0% (40.0%)	0 vs 0	6 vs 7	10 vs 18	9/10	29/20	+29.1%	Pinnacle	+144.0
Total Profit/Loss:													+44.0
ROI:						22.0%

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0.0%

-200.0

-100.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
30th November 2025	Aston Villa vs Wolverhampton Wanderers	1-0	✗ Failed	40.0% (40.0%)	53.33% (53.33%)	0 vs 0	0 vs 12	2 vs 20	13/10	9/5	+22.3%	Pinnacle	-100.0
22nd November 2025	Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Crystal Palace	0-2	✗ Failed	40.0% (40.0%)	43.33% (43.33%)	0 vs 0	1 vs 5	2 vs 16	11/10	21/20	-2.4%	Pinnacle	-100.0
Total Profit/Loss:													-200.0
ROI:						-100.0%

Manchester City

0.0%

-100.0

-100.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
22nd November 2025	Newcastle United vs Manchester City	2-1	✗ Failed	80.0% (80.0%)	46.67% (46.67%)	0 vs 0	12 vs 6	19 vs 11	8/15	7/20	-11.8%	Marathonbet	-100.0
Total Profit/Loss:													-100.0
ROI:						-100.0%

Tottenham Hotspur

0.0%

-200.0

-100.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
29th November 2025	Tottenham Hotspur vs Fulham	1-2	✗ Failed	46.67% (46.67%)	40.0% (40.0%)	0 vs 0	4 vs 6	12 vs 12	9/10	2/5	-24.9%	Pinnacle	-100.0
23rd November 2025	Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur	4-1	✗ Failed	46.67% (46.67%)	56.67% (56.67%)	0 vs 0	7 vs 13	15 vs 23	6/5	85/40	+40.3%	Marathonbet	-100.0
Total Profit/Loss:													-200.0
ROI:						-100.0%

Brentford

0.0%

-100.0

-100.0%

Fixture Details with Handicap +1 Odds

Date	Fixture	Score	Result	Success % (+1)	Opp. Success % (0)	Lineup	L5	L10	Our Odds	Best Odds	Edge %	Bookmaker	P/L (£100)
22nd November 2025	Brighton & Hove Albion vs Brentford	2-1	✗ Failed	66.67% (66.67%)	46.67% (46.67%)	0 vs 0	9 vs 8	16 vs 15	4/6	10/11	+15.1%	Marathonbet	-100.0
Total Profit/Loss:													-100.0
ROI:						-100.0%

TOTAL

57.1%

-125.0

-4.46%

Accumulator Analysis (€100 stake per bet)

Doubles (2 selections)

Total Bets: 2

Wins: 0

Losses: 2

Total P/L: €-200.0

Trebles (3 selections)

Total Bets: 1

Wins: 0

Losses: 1

Total P/L: €-100.0

Four-folds (4 selections)

Total Bets: 1

Wins: 0

Losses: 1

Total P/L: €-100.0

* Fixtures are grouped chronologically. When multiple fixtures occur at the same time, one is randomly selected.